UMassHoops.com

econalum · Posted: Sun Nov 06, 2011 11:41 pm Post subject:

Nuts to the details:

1. do we make the NCAA's this year - my guess is not.
2. do we have a winning record - my guess is by 2 games.

We must measure progress, at this point, as making the big dance. In my view, we are far from it - too bad - but that is where we seem to be.

I was REALLY HOPING that D.K. would be 1. a great recruiter 2. a great game coach. To date, not so much.

My memory of 7-0 against patsies last year, and a basic collapse in A10 still rings in my ears. I am from Missouri now - show me meaningful wins, not increments.
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DoctorJ · Posted: Mon Nov 07, 2011 12:58 am Post subject:

LooneyGoon · Senior Joined: 23 Mar 2004 Posts: 969

Total Wins 21
Conference Wins 10
Leading Scorer Putney
Leading Rebounder Hova
Number of players averaging >10 PPG 2 (Putney, Chaz)
Average Home attendance 4,001
Team PPG 72
Team Pts Allowed Per Game 66
# of 20+ point wins 3
# of 20+ point losses 2
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69MG · Posted: Mon Nov 07, 2011 4:25 pm Post subject: Preditctions

I'm going to enter my prediction after seeing them in person on Friday. I want to see Chaz, Jesse, Cady and Maxie in game action. I also want to see the intensity level, especially on defense, and see how the uptempo game looks. Not saying that Friday's outcome will be a great barometer on how the season will unfold, but I don't think I have ever come into a season with less of an idea on what the team will look like.

MassDynasty321 · Senior Joined: 18 Nov 2005 Posts: 1026 Location: St. Louis

Total Wins- 18
Conference Wins- 9
Leading Scorer- Putney
Leading Rebounder- Sean
Number of players averaging 10 ppg- 3
Average Home attendance- 3619
Team PPG- 73
Team Pts Allowed Per Game- 71
# of 20+ point wins- 4
# of 20+ point losses- 2

UMass87 · Hall of Fame Joined: 02 Apr 2003 Posts: 7330

Minutemanfan · Posted: Mon Nov 07, 2011 11:20 pm Post subject:

Total Wins 20
Conference Wins 10
Leading Scorer Jesse Morgan
Leading Rebounder Sean Carter
Number of players averaging >10 PPG 5
Average Home attendance 4,231
Team PPG 75
Team Pts Allowed Per Game 71
# of 20+ point wins 0
# of 20+ point losses 0
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uz2b-len · Posted: Tue Nov 08, 2011 11:19 am Post subject:

Your last two predictions would suit me fine. A 20 pt loss is a lot more painful than a 20 pt win is pleasant.
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eldonabe · Posted: Tue Nov 15, 2011 2:59 pm Post subject:

So here is a brief summary:

Category - avg ans - Hi pick - lo pick

Wins - Avg 18 Hi 21, Lo 12
NonCon Wins - Avg 9 Hi 11, Lo 6
lead Scorer (concensus Riley or Morgan)
lead Rebounder (concensus Sean Carter)
# > 10ppg - Avg 3 Hi 5 Lo 2
Att Avg - Avg 3456, Hi 4231, Lo 2700
PPG - Avg 73, Hi 77, Lo 65
PAPG - Avg 71, Hi 76, Lo 66
20pt wins - Avg 2.1, Hi 4 lo 0
20pt losses - Avg 1.8, Hi 4, Lo 0

umass2msu · Posted: Thu Jan 05, 2012 3:08 pm Post subject:

Just bringing this back to see how the early predictions are stacking up.

UMass87 · Hall of Fame Joined: 02 Apr 2003 Posts: 7330

I'm either wrong on the total wins or wrong on the conference wins. My 20 point wins/losses are filled so there can be no more of those. My scoring average is dead on but I am way too high on opponents's average. I have four players in double digit scoring which may be good given the loss of Sampson Carter. Doesn't look like Put is going to be the lead scorer but I'm holding out hope.

Marty Peretz · Posted: Mon Feb 20, 2012 12:38 am Post subject:

In an effort at bringing a little context/distraction to this point in the season, I'm bumping this thread. It's a fun one and next year I hope more people partake in it. Side point...not to look ahead to next year, but if we theoretically played this same schedule next year, my predictions would be as follows:

22 Wins
11 conference wins
Leading scorer: Chaz
Leading rebounder: Cady
Number of players in double figures: 4
Average Attendance: 5975
5 20 point wins
1 20 point loss
77 points a game
68 points allowed
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UMassFan99 · Senior Joined: 09 Jan 2010 Posts: 1253

I'm still looking forward to the A-10 tourney, but I'm also pretty excited for next year. Hope the guys work as hard as they did in the off-season this past year. It will pay serious dividends if they do.

I think next year we actually end up ranked depending upon the strength of our schedule. If it was the same schedule as this year, I would think we get that Miami win, no way we lose to URI or LaSalle twice. That said:

23 Wins
12 conference wins
Leading scorer: Putney
Leading rebounder: Cady
Number of players in double figures: 4
Average Attendance: 6,100
4 20 point wins
0 20 point loss
82 points a game
71 points allowed

eldonabe · Posted: Mon Mar 05, 2012 12:58 pm Post subject:

I never really thought about it at first but this should be cut off as of the end of the REGULAR SEASON: So here are the results with the name(s) of those who hit or came closest:

20 people played - (a little low but considering I [as the host] can be such a tool on the board, I kind of expected that...) Hopefully more will play next year.

CATEGORY - RESULT - CORRECT (or closest)
WINS: 20 - (Outlaw Pete, Winslow, Minutemanfan)
CONF WINS: 9 - (7 people in total)
Lead Scorer: Williams (Chizzle, Frigidevil)
Lead Rebounder: Se Carter (Almost everyone had him)
#>10ppg: 2 (ReFuse2Lose, Philosopher)
Avg Home Attendance*: 4294 (Minutemanfan 4231, Marty Perez - 4229)
Team PPG: 75.2 (Roadtrip, Minutmanfan)
Team PAPG: 74.5 (sldrums, xlgman)
#20+pt wins: 3 (Chizzle, Umass87, LooneyGoon)
#20+pt losses: 3 (eldonabe)

A couple of observations (about this and in general):

The attendnace thing was interesting and clearly tied to success/failure of the team. Nobody went over on their guess; even with some pretty lofty guesses for win totals. Their highest attendance before the conference schedule started was 3821 and an average of 3017, but starting with Fordham they drew less than 4k only twice and averaged 5411. (I did not include the Sienna Game)

The differential in points scored/allowed was really slim at 1.3 PPG. Considering they were +10 in wins/losses you would think that the spread would be a little bigger.

In thinking back on the whole season the number of 20pt losses was a little surprising. I guessed 3 thinking they were flat out not going to be good this year, when in reality, they played pretty damn competitive and still had 3 blow out losses.

I will do this again next season and maybe I'll think of a couple more categories (open to suggestions)... thanks for playing (I really am not the jerk I portray on the board!)

Minutemanfan · Posted: Mon Mar 05, 2012 5:32 pm Post subject:

^ Yikes...4 0f 10 categories (I was one of those who picked Sean to be the leading rebounder). Very Happy

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“We’re going to play hard for 40 minutes, get up in you, and play UMass basketball.” -- Jesse Morgan