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There are no "Should Win" games any more this year. That said, this is one of the few conference games that we have a better than average chance to get a W.69MG wrote: Thu Jan 02, 2025 2:11 pm We have a game on Saturday at noon. I think we have a chance to take this one. Richmond doesn't scare me as much as St. Joes did. We match up better against them. That's all I'm going to say.
Looking forward to the first home game of A10 play. Nothing planned pre or post game, but we will have a pregame at Amherst Public House for the Dayton game.minutefanjsf wrote: Thu Jan 02, 2025 7:05 pm The ESPN predictor has us at almost the same percent to win as it had St. Joe’s to beat us. We could be 8-9 point favorites.
was going to comment on this - is it me or does it seem like this never works out for UMass? What I mean is when it shows us as having a 24% chance of winning we never win - on the other hand, it's literally 50/50 (and that may be generous) that we actually win when we're that big a favorite. I don't think we can go back and look but I am pretty sure we were 75% chance of beating Hofstra, CCSU and UMass Lowell - I believe it was the same with Northeastern and we were tied under 4 minutes before pulling that one off.minutefanjsf wrote: Thu Jan 02, 2025 7:05 pm The ESPN predictor has us at almost the same percent to win as it had St. Joe’s to beat us. We could be 8-9 point favorites.
won't say never works out, just not this season and especially in those games, when we (like ESPN's predictor) expected better. That's why we're so disappointed.MakeMullinsGreatAgain wrote: Fri Jan 03, 2025 9:49 amwas going to comment on this - is it me or does it seem like this never works out for UMass? What I mean is when it shows us as having a 24% chance of winning we never win - on the other hand, it's literally 50/50 (and that may be generous) that we actually win when we're that big a favorite. I don't think we can go back and look but I am pretty sure we were 75% chance of beating Hofstra, CCSU and UMass Lowell - I believe it was the same with Northeastern and we were tied under 4 minutes before pulling that one off.minutefanjsf wrote: Thu Jan 02, 2025 7:05 pm The ESPN predictor has us at almost the same percent to win as it had St. Joe’s to beat us. We could be 8-9 point favorites.
Not picking on you Bobolink, but how long can we continue to say that UMass is younger and less experienced than their opponents? It feels like every year we have a "young" team.
When I saw that they beat an 11-2 GW team it got my attention. But look at GW's OOC schedule, it's even weaker than ours and the game was at Richmond. I'm not saying this will be easy, but we certainly have a shot.bobolink wrote: Fri Jan 03, 2025 10:25 am
won't say never works out, just not this season and especially in those games, when we (like ESPN's predictor) expected better. That's why we're so disappointed.
I can think of a few reasons why Richmond will win tomorrow: they're older and more experienced, and their bigs outweigh UMass's by a lot. OTOH, they've been lousy on the road and their very small guards have been getting posted up. Same old story, though: gotta hit some outside shots to make that possible. They come in off a nice win over GW, and UMass needs to bounce back after another disappointing end of game vs St. Joe's.
I don't feel picked on because the experience thing can sound like an excuse, and we're well past time for excuses. You can say old enough, but they seem to me to be more experienced. Yes, we have some seniors, but not like theirs. Their top 2 are grad students (Neskovic and Hunt). Hunt is playing is his 111th D1 game (I'll be glad to be done with those extra covid years). UMass has Rahsool, who hardly played at all as a Freshman, and not big minutes as a Soph either. Malek is a Senior, but has only played 32 D1 games and only started in 10 (all at UMass). Before UMass, Daniel played a full year at Bryant, but I think was JUCO before that (?). If DHS starts, it will be his 13th start. Just a thought on why them or us get favored.Juice Stand wrote: Fri Jan 03, 2025 10:52 amNot picking on you Bobolink, but how long can we continue to say that UMass is younger and less experienced than their opponents? It feels like every year we have a "young" team.
Rahsool: Senior
Rivera: Senior
Malek: Senior
DHS: Junior
We add a bunch of sophomores but really only 1 freshman, Nate. We're old enough, we're experienced enough. Richmond is having a bad season so far: sub .500 record, 272 NET, 239 KenPom. This is a home game against a not very good team. Make some shots, grab some rebounds, and win a game.
Pretty much. He had a stop at SLU in between, but he didn't play due to injury.bobolink wrote: Fri Jan 03, 2025 12:11 pm Before UMass, Daniel played a full year at Bryant, but I think was JUCO before that (?).
Rivera is a junior eligibility wise. He will continue to get better and has shown great strides recently.Juice Stand wrote: Fri Jan 03, 2025 10:52 amNot picking on you Bobolink, but how long can we continue to say that UMass is younger and less experienced than their opponents? It feels like every year we have a "young" team.
Rahsool: Senior
Rivera: Senior
Malek: Senior
DHS: Junior
We add a bunch of sophomores but really only 1 freshman, Nate. We're old enough, we're experienced enough. Richmond is having a bad season so far: sub .500 record, 272 NET, 239 KenPom. This is a home game against a not very good team. Make some shots, grab some rebounds, and win a game.